[1]张恺.基于置信规则库的应急方案生成方法[J].福建工程学院学报,2015,13(06):584-589.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1672-4348.2015.06.014]
　Zhang Kai.Belief rule-based emergency alternative generating method[J].Journal of FuJian University of Technology,2015,13(06):584-589.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1672-4348.2015.06.014]
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基于置信规则库的应急方案生成方法()
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《福建工程学院学报》[ISSN:2097-3853/CN:35-1351/Z]

卷:
第13卷
期数:
2015年06期
页码:
584-589
栏目:
出版日期:
2015-12-25

文章信息/Info

Title:
Belief rule-based emergency alternative generating method
作者:
张恺
福建船政交通职业学院信息工程系
Author(s):
Zhang Kai
Information Engineering Department, Fujian Chuanzheng Communications College
关键词:
突发事件;  应急方案;  置信规则库;  重大交通事故
Keywords:
emergency event;  emergency alternative;  belief rule base;  fatal traffic accident
分类号:
TP391
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1672-4348.2015.06.014
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对突发事件中数据存在不确定性，应急方案生成困难的问题，提出一种基于置信规则库方案生成的新方法。将历史案例的数据转换成置信度分布形式，通过优化模型对历史数据进行学习得到问题与方案之间的置信规则库，再应用基于证据推理的置信规则库推理方法获得当前突发事件的应急方案；并以一个重大交通事故说明该方法的可行性与有效性。
Abstract:
To solve the problem of data uncertainty in emergency and the difficulty in generating emergency alternatives, a new method of generating emergency alternatives based on belief rule base was developed. The data of historical cases were transformed into a belief degree distribution form. Then, an optimization model was employed to gain the belief rule base via the relation between the problem and the solution. Furthermore, the rule-base inference methodology using the evidential reasoning was adopted to obtain the emergency alternative. Finally, a numerical example of a fatal traffic accident was used to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.

参考文献/References:

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更新日期/Last Update: 2015-12-25